The Effect of Exchange Rate on Economic Growth of Nigeria
Abstract
This research work explored the effect of Nigeria’s exchange rate on the economic growth of Nigeria. It is focused on establishing the extent to which Naira rate have influenced economic growth from using data spanning between 1987 and 2018; and the extent to which the Naira rate has influenced inflation in Nigeria within the same time frame. This study however employed Ordinary Least Squares technique of analysis to construct a regression model to test stated hypotheses. Findings revealed that the Naira rate has no significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria and that the Naira rate has a significant influence on inflation rate in Naira. The study, therefore, recommends that the export base of Nigeria should be strengthened to ensure a sustainable impact and that local manufacturing should be fully encouraged.
References
2. Agbeyebge,T. D., Stotsky, J., &Wolde, A. (2006) Trade Liberalization, exchange rate changes, and tax revenue in sub Saharan African. Journal of Asian Economics, 17, 261-284.
3. Ajaji, S. I. (2003) Globalization and Africa. Journal of Africa Economics, 12, 120-150.
4. Akerele, A. . (2004) Nigeria’s Export Trade nstability and orecast: J. Development Alternatives and Area Studies, 20 #3-4, 61-80.
5. Akoku O.O. (2009). An Analysis of Interest Rate and Exchange Rate on Nigeria Economy (1975-2008). An Empirical Investigation.
6. Amadeo K. (2018). Economic Growth, its Measurement, Causes and Effects. Retrieved from https:///www.thebalance.com/whatiseconomicgrwoth-3306014.
7. Asafu-Adjaye, J., &Chakraborty, D. (1999) Export-Led Growth and Import Compression:
8. Asher, R. E. (1970) Development Assistance in the seventies, alternatives for the United States, Washington, D.C: Brookings Institute, 99-100.
9. badan, M. . (1983) Prospects for Diversification in Nigeria’s Export Trade in Annual Conference of the Nigerian Economic Society, Heinemann press, Ibadan, 33-53.
10. Campbell Omolara A. (2010). “Foreign Exchange Market and Monetary Management in Nigeria” Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences (JETEMS) 1(2): 102-106.
11. CBN (2016). unveils details of flexible exchange rate policy today http://sunnewsonline.com/cbn-unveils-details-of-flexible-exchange-rate-policy15th June 2016.
12. Central Bank of Nigeria, Annual Report and Statement of Account (2018).
13. Central Bank of Nigeria, Annual Report and Statement of Account (2004).
14. Daly, S.M.(2007). The choice of exchange rate regime in the MENA countries: a probit analysis. University of Michigan: the William Davidson Institute.
15. Development Alternatives and Area Studies, 20(2 & 3), 124-130.
16. Dornbrusch, R. And Fischer, S.(2005). Macroeconomics. New York: McGraw hills education
17. Edwards, S. (1998) Openness, Productivity and Growth: What do really know? Economic Journal, 108(1), 383-398.
18. Eze, T.C and Okpala, C.S (2014). "Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Exchange Rate Policies on Nigeria's Economic Growth: a test of stability of parameter estimates". International Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences. Vol4, No7, Pp. 265-272.
19. Ezike, I., & Amah P. (2011) Macroeconomic Impact of Trade on the Nigerian Growth: Anempirical evaluation. Research Journal of Business Management and Accounting, 1 (4), 079-083.
20. Ferrando, R. Y. (2011). Relationship Between Exchange Rate Appreciation and Economic Growth in China (1987- 2008). An Empirical Evidence. Harvard University: Worth Publishers.
21. Frankel, J. &Romar, D. (1999) Does Trade Cause Growth? American Economic Review, 89(3): 379-99.
22. Frederico, G., & Jayme, F. G. (2001) Notes on Trade and Growth.TextoparaDiscussaoNo.166.
23. Further Time Series Evidence from LDCs, Australian Economic Papers, 38, 164-175.
24. Fusfeld, . (1990) “ icardo, David”. The World Book Encyclopedia. 1990 ed.
25. Granger, C. W. J. (1969) Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross- Spectral Methods.Econometrica, 37, No. 3, 422-438.
26. Greenway, D.C., Morgan, C.W. & Wright, P.W. (2002) Trade Liberalization and Growth: New Methods, New Evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 67, 229-244.
27. Grosman, G. &Helpman, H. (1990) Comparative advantage and long-run growth. American Economic Review, 80(4): 796- 815.
28. Harrison, A. (1991) Openness and Growth: a time series data, cross-country analysis for developing countries. Policy research working paper, WPS 809: World Development Report, World Bank, Washington, DC.
29. Henderson, .(1993) “David icardo”. The ortune Encyclopedia of Economics
30. IMF(2015). Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions. Washington D.C: IMF.
31. Irwin, D. &Tervio, M. (2002) Does Trade Raise Income? Evidence from the twentieth century. Journal of International Economics, 58, 1-18.
32. Isola, L., Oluwafunke, A., Victor, A. and Asaleye, A. (2016). Exchange rate fluctuations and the Nigerian economic growth. EuroEconomica, 35(2).
33. Jayme, F. G. (2001) Balance of Payments Constrained Economic Growth in Brazil. TextoPara Discussao no. 155. Cedeplar/UFMG. 23(1), 62-84.
34. Jhingan, M. L. (2003) Economic Development and Planning, 35th Edition. VrindaPublications (P) LTD.
35. Kavousssi, R. M. (1984) Export Performance and Economic Growth in Ethiopia: Further Empirical Evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 14, 241-250.
36. Khan, M. S. &Zahler, R. (1985) Trade and Financial Liberalization Given External Shocks and Inconsistent Domestic Policies, IMF Staff Papers, 32.
37. Klenow, P.J. & Rodriguez-clare, A. (1997) Qualifying Variety Gains from Trade
38. Krueger, A. O. (1997) Trade Policy and Economic Development: How We Learn. American Economic Review, 87(1), 1-21.
39. Liberalization. Graduate school of Business, University of Chicago.
40. Mankiw, N.G.(2010).Macroeconomics.
41. Massel, B. F. (1972) Foreign Exchange and Economic Development, An Empirical Study of Selected Latin American countries. Review of Economic and Statistics, 54, 208-212.
42. Michaely, M. (1977) Exports and Economic Growth: An empirical Investigation. Journal of Development Economics, 4(1), 49-54.
43. Mushin, J.(2014). Monetary- policy targets and exchange rates. New Zealand: Victoria University of Wellington.
44. Nymoen, R. (2013). Expectation model, measurement error, Lucas critique, Invariant(lecture 17). Norway: university of Oslo.
45. Obi, K.O., Oniore, J.O and Nnamdi, K.U. (2016). Impact of exchange rate regime on economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable development.7(12):115-127.
46. odriquez, . & oderick, D. (2000) Trade policy and Economic Growth: a skeptic’s guide to the cross-national evidence, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 7081, Washington.
47. Odularu, G. O., & Okonkwo, C. (2010) Does energy Consumption Contribute to economic performance? Empirical Evidence from Nigeria. East-West Journal of Economics and Business, XII(2), 43-79.
48. Ogborkor, C. A. (2001) Oil and Economic Growth: An Econometric Analysis. J
49. Oviemuno, A. O. (2007) International Trade as an Engine of Growth on Developing Countries, a case study of Nigeria (1980-2003), Journal of Economics Perspective, 12(4) 45- 62.
50. Oyejide, T. A. (1974). Export and Economic Growth in African Countries: Economic International Journal, 2, 177-185.
51. Papaioannou, M. (2003). Determinants of the choice of exchange rate regimes in six central American countries: An empirical Analysis. Retrieved from:http://www.imf.org.
52. Roderick, D. (1998) Trade Policy and Economic Performance in Sub Saharan Africa. Paper prepared for the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Policy. NBER.
53. Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. (1995) Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration. Brookings Paper on Economic Activity, 1, 1-118.
54. Salvatora, D. (2004). International Economics Schaum Outline Series,Tata McGraw Hill.
55. Sebastian, F. (2016). Does the choice of exchange rate regime affect economic growth: A study across different levels of country development. Sodertom University: Institute of Economics.
In submitting the manuscript to the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance, the authors certify that:
- They are authorized by their co-authors to enter into these arrangements.
- The work described has not been formally published before, except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, review, thesis, or overlay journal.
- That it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere,
- The publication has been approved by the author(s) and by responsible authorities – tacitly or explicitly – of the institutes where the work has been carried out.
- They secure the right to reproduce any material that has already been published or copyrighted elsewhere.
- They agree to the following license and copyright agreement.
License and Copyright Agreement
Authors who publish with Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or edit it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) before and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.