Debt Burden and Economic Stability in Nigeria
Abstract
The study investigated the nexus between debt burden and economic stability in Nigeria between the periods 1981 to 2020. The study developed a model where external debt, domestic debt, external debt servicing cost and domestic debt servicing cost are measure of debt burden while gross domestic product is used as a measure of economic stability. The study scope covers the period 1981 to 2020 where auto regressive distributed lag mechanism was used. We found that Foreign loan stock significantly contributed to economic stability in Nigeria in an inverse manner, Domestic debt stock does not seem to significantly contribute to economic stability in Nigeria, External debt servicing cost does not seem to significantly promote economic stability in Nigeria. Domestic debt servicing cost does not seem to significantly contribute to economic stability in Nigeria. Since result provided us with an evidence to assert that external debt has negatively contributed to economic stability in Nigeria which could be as a result of moral hazard, we recommended that external borrowing should be monitored to avoid diversion and should also be invested on productive capital investment across the nation which is capable of yielding profitable investment returns. By doing this, it significant effect will be positive on economic stability.
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