Directions for Improving The Methodology of Assessing The Food Market Conjuncture
Abstract
This article examines and enhances the existing methodology for assessing the food market conjuncture, emphasizing the importance of timely and accurate analysis in ensuring food security and market stability. The limitations of current assessment tools—particularly those lacking digital integration and comprehensive indicators—are critically analyzed. To address these gaps, the study introduces a refined methodological system that incorporates an expanded set of indicators and digital technologies such as big data and artificial intelligence. By leveraging statistical and expert-based tools, the research offers practical and theoretical insights for improving forecasting models and regional economic policy. Empirical data from Namangan region form the basis of this study, revealing trends in production, consumption, exports, and pricing. The findings demonstrate the relevance of modernized methodologies for better policy responses, enhanced competitiveness of local products, and more balanced regional development. These insights are crucial for creating a resilient food market system responsive to global and local economic dynamics.
References
A. N. Ivanov, Food Security in the Context of Economic Globalization, Moscow: Moscow State University Publishing, 2021, 248 p.
FAO, The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2022, Rome: FAO, 2022, 260 p.
J. Smith and R. Mackenzie, Methods of Market Analysis and Forecasting: Theory and Practice, Saint Petersburg: Piter, 2019, 320 p.
Sh. R. Karimov and D. M. Mukhitdinova, “Improvement of methods for assessing food market conditions: international and national experience,” Scientific Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 56–65, 2022.
OECD/FAO, Agricultural Outlook 2023–2032, Paris: OECD Publishing, 2023, 350 p.
Presidential Decree of the Republic of Uzbekistan, “On additional measures to ensure food security in the Republic of Uzbekistan,” Tashkent, Sept. 9, 2020.
K. R. Usmanov, Methods of Economic and Statistical Analysis of Market Conditions, Tashkent: Iqtisod-Moliya, 2019, 256 p.
FAO, The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2022, Rome: FAO, 2022.
P. Kotler and G. Armstrong, Marketing Management, Pearson Education, 2021, 720 p.
B. N. Gerasimov, Market Analysis and Its Conjuncture, Moscow: Finance and Statistics, 2018, 312 p.
I. V. Lipsits, Commercial Pricing, Moscow: Infra-M, 2017, 376 p.
A. F. Shishkin, Statistical Methods of Market Analysis, Moscow: Unity-Dana, 2019, 280 p.
World Bank Group, Global Economic Prospects, Washington D.C.: World Bank, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.worldbank.org/gep
I. P. Boyko, Analysis and Forecasting of the Food Market, Moscow: Economy, 2020, 344 p.
N. V. Khalimova, Food Security and Market Mechanisms of Its Provision, Saint Petersburg: Lan, 2021, 224 p.
Copyright (c) 2025 Abduraxmonov Adxamjon Sultonboyevich

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
In submitting the manuscript to the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance, the authors certify that:
- They are authorized by their co-authors to enter into these arrangements.
- The work described has not been formally published before, except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, review, thesis, or overlay journal.
- That it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere,
- The publication has been approved by the author(s) and by responsible authorities – tacitly or explicitly – of the institutes where the work has been carried out.
- They secure the right to reproduce any material that has already been published or copyrighted elsewhere.
- They agree to the following license and copyright agreement.
License and Copyright Agreement
Authors who publish with Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the Central Asian Journal of Innovations on Tourism Management and Finance published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or edit it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) before and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.